Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $6.14K
- Potential payout
- $28.56K
- Potential profit
- $22.42K
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.19K
Polymarket Trader
exposito
0xdd08917881cbda78721c6d05a3e6b9ac1aef5ee9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.37K
- Realized PnL
- $61.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- $287.5
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $4.24K
- Potential payout
- $4.47K
- Potential profit
- $234.83
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $618.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.3K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28K
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 47% 8,488.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 51.2% 1,953.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 6.3% 131.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 6.1% 8,462.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 20.2% 3,965.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 71.8% 1,200.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 69.4% 3,588 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 67% 2,041.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 79.8% 6,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 19.7% 4,629.55 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 94% 1,700 shares
- Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo 94% 5,000 shares