Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $105K
- Potential profit
- $103.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$51.4K
Polymarket Trader
FedFan
0xdd0a22a520624502c92c8b5138ad70669ca2c642
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $118.6K
- Realized PnL
- $30.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $103.9K
- Potential payout
- $105K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $51.4K
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $295
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.7K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.24K
- Potential profit
- $8.24K
- User PnL
- -$24.71
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $7.38K
- Potential payout
- $8.02K
- Potential profit
- $641.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $442.03
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.99K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- $152.5
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $937.8
- Potential payout
- $941.09
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $535.58
- Potential profit
- $535.58
- User PnL
- -$95.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $731.35
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.57
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640.04
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.34
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $572.77
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $568.12
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.76
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.06
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.33
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $516.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 3,000 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 999.99 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 1,999.99 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 3,999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.6% 50,000 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,093.93 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 14.8% 64.55 shares
- Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes 99.7% 1,050 shares
- Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes 99.3% 1,285.03 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 96.7% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.6% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 10,000 shares