Polymarket Trader

9c56soda

0xdd0a7a5e152e3c237ec248c03539dee5f482d64b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $227.43
Realized PnL: $1.16K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.38
Potential payout: $366
Potential profit: $363.62
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $244
Potential profit: $242.17
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.85
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $119.18
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $30.83
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $17.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $32.13
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $107.87
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.22
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $63.72
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $12.47
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $48.53
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $22.71
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $37.29
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $52.78
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $41.25
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $32.47
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $33.93
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.49

Yes position

Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.1

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.39

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72

Ninjas in Pyjamas position

LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Republican position

Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

No position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.88

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.6

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Hampton Pirates position

Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton Pirates

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.28

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.36

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.02

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 29?

Yes 0.9% 150 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 10 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 61 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.7% 56 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 36 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 71 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.1% 140 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 22% 50 shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 36.2% 30 shares
Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Timberwolves 23% 100 shares
Thunder vs. Lakers

Lakers 23% 149 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 51% 1,000 shares