Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $620.45
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.05K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$713.85
Polymarket Trader
0xdd0f0edD2F328d6805E1331b4D0d5C2285B1AC4D-1768139087408
0xdd0f0edd2f328d6805e1331b4d0d5c2285b1ac4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.81K
- Realized PnL
- $1.99K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.8%
- Current value
- $2.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $620.45
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $713.85
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $135.45
- Potential payout
- $285.15
- Potential profit
- $149.7
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $652.97
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $253.59
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $150.37
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.04
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.92
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.33
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.45
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.43
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.12
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $41.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $33.35
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.25
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $19.18
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.41
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.28
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.31
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.86
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.16
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31.7% 279.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 5.2 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 36% 5 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 46% 2.12 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 68% 30 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 64% 35 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 74% 60 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No 2.1% 80 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 88% 19.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 25% 99.6 shares
- Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 5% 60 shares