No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $350.56
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $50.56
Polymarket Trader
ohboy
0xdd13e4faefb20c55b4db29b21c85cdb9c6e1b4fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $560.52
- Realized PnL
- $805.07
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.7
- Potential profit
- $348.7
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $135.14
- Potential payout
- $135.14
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $35.14
No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $40.55
- Potential payout
- $75.79
- Potential profit
- $35.24
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$9.45
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $42.33
- Potential profit
- $35.77
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $27.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.49
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.93
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.27
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Negative GDP growth in 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $340b and $350b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No 15% 66.67 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 13% 38.33 shares
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No 74% 135.14 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?No 25% 4 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?No 21% 23.81 shares
- SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No 66% 75.79 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Yes 1.4% 348.7 shares
- Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?No 73% 27.4 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 81% 370.37 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No 44.8% 111.62 shares
- Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No 29.9% 167.29 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No 98.2% 1,166.13 shares