Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $636.85
- Potential payout
- $849.13
- Potential profit
- $212.28
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $14.42
Polymarket Trader
Yallen-474
0xdd1dbffc53ef486f0724d711ad0a657756aee206
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $636.85
- Realized PnL
- $133.52
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.51
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.48
No position
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Russia' 3+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
TikTok sale announced before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.24
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.04
No position
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.97
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Trump say 'AI' or 'artificial intelligence' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.07
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.21
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.87
Yes position
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 73.3% 849.13 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 40% 81.96 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 91% 64.1 shares
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes 78% 64.1 shares
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?Yes 29% 86.21 shares
- US recession in 2025?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes 32% 47.61 shares
- Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?Yes 1.3% 238.09 shares
- Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes 71% 79.36 shares
- TikTok sale announced before May?No 84% 58.82 shares
- TikTok sale announced before May?No 68% 58.82 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?Yes 21% 47.62 shares