Yes position
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Polymarket Trader
muhammadsr
0xdd1ef39f5bd3e6e29ee0ec6b9e1d71d15273086d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2
- Realized PnL
- -$8.3
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.68x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.1% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 91.9% 5 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Yes 22% 20 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 35% 13 shares
- Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No 46.8% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 5.47 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 68% 31.74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5% 285.71 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 73% 5.48 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 7% 285.71 shares