Polymarket Trader

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0xdd38291fd0bb2d4a704b06bbb985d4613f88f41b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.54
Realized PnL: $114.6
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $6.73K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $780
Potential profit: $780
User PnL: -$111.4

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $578.95
Potential profit: $578.95
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $425.53
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.21
Potential profit: $274.21
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.14
Potential profit: $258.14
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $10.94
Potential payout: $243.06
Potential profit: $232.12
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$9.06

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.45
Potential profit: $229.45
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.13
Potential profit: $119.13
User PnL: -$4.41

Yes position

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14.9

Yes position

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $13.6
Potential payout: $71.58
Potential profit: $57.98
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$6.4

Yes position

Biden removed via 25th Amendment?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

No position

Rainbow airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will the Director of Secret Service be fired/resign?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Yes position

Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,500 on July 26?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Kamala say "unburdened" by Friday?

Ends Jul 26, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.3

Yes position

DNC open convention?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.4

No position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance by Wednesday?

Ends Jul 24, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Biden speak at the DNC?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Joe Biden make an appearance today?

Ends Jul 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Yes 30.2% 33.12 shares
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 4.7% 425.53 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Yes 9.1% 274.21 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 20% 125 shares
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?

Yes 4.4% 229.45 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 19% 263.16 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Yes 8.2% 243.06 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Yes 3% 6,733.96 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Yes 1.9% 578.95 shares
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?

Yes 8% 80 shares
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Yes 14.9% 42.2 shares