Polymarket Trader

0xdd501cB6a5FE594571D724e0a5d5b910600DA2e4-1779718070549

0xdd501cb6a5fe594571d724e0a5d5b910600da2e4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.38
Realized PnL: $73.85
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.71
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$39.65

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.13

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $552.5
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $512.5
Potential profit: $512.24
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $448.4
Potential profit: $448.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.78

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $39.3
Potential payout: $391
Potential profit: $351.7
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $5.96
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $378.65
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.18
Potential profit: $306.18
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.78
Potential profit: $277.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $231.55
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $195.62
Potential profit: $195.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $157.9
Potential profit: $127.35
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.65
Potential payout: $134.09
Potential profit: $125.44
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: -$2.35

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.64
Potential profit: $66.64
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.36
Potential profit: $61.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.16
Potential profit: $56.16
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.58x
User PnL: $23.19

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: $8.45

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $7.86

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.8%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.9%
Multiplier: 3.47x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Under position

South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Morocco to score first vs. Brazil?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to July 1, 2026?

Yes 7.7% 39.21 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 48.76 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.8% 5.98 shares
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.7% 1,030.83 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38% 13.04 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 157.89 shares
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.3% 13.04 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.5% 5.98 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 11.23 shares
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 400 shares