Polymarket Trader

0xdd51409a7E53c0fb0f98eAc71B5B4019fdd13218-1768293385202

0xdd51409a7e53c0fb0f98eac71b5b4019fdd13218

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.56
Realized PnL: $27.22
Win rate: 47.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 4°C or below on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Big Brother episode not air?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.52
Potential profit: $145.52
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.49
Potential profit: $48.49
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.08
Potential profit: $24.08
User PnL: -$9.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $5.77
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4
Potential profit: $3.4
User PnL: -$1.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Healthcare" or "Health care" 8+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 29% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Up 16% 31.25 shares
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 9.9% 10.1 shares
Will Big Brother episode not air?

Yes 0.7% 145.52 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 17?

No 0.1% 5,500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 40.9% 23.72 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 26.9% 12.4 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 19% 11.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Up 34% 14.34 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 46% 5.27 shares
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 38% 6.89 shares