Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $67.37K
- Potential payout
- $326.23K
- Potential profit
- $258.86K
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$95.75K
Polymarket Trader
twe2nty
0xdd5cc0a31573fc60a279577b80f00f27a32f0c2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.58K
- Realized PnL
- $84.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $258.86K
- Potential payout
- $326.23K
- Potential profit
- $67.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $95.75K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $7.24K
- Potential payout
- $7.68K
- Potential profit
- $441.64
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $948.45
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $520.21
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $365.34
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $5.26K
- Potential payout
- $5.29K
- Potential profit
- $29.08
- User PnL
- $393.86
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.73K
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $582.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $452.9
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.74K
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- User PnL
- $833.58
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $11.83
- User PnL
- $274.87
No position
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $84.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $37.83
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $101.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $17.98
No position
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $234.32
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $277.74
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $88.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $261.41
No position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $58.85
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $188.95
No position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $17.85
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $78.99
No position
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $6
- User PnL
- $49.24
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $602.88
- Potential payout
- $605.3
- Potential profit
- $2.42
- User PnL
- $106.28
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $565.35
- Potential payout
- $593.85
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $48.7
No position
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $406.03
- Potential payout
- $417.73
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $341.54
- Potential payout
- $356.33
- Potential profit
- $14.79
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $311.12
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $22.88
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.54
No position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $239.32
- Potential payout
- $279.91
- Potential profit
- $40.59
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $40.59
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $218.88
- Potential payout
- $234.1
- Potential profit
- $15.22
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $64.38
No position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $140.82
- Potential payout
- $157.34
- Potential profit
- $16.52
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.78K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.55K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.29K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36K
Yes position
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 300.58 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 94.8% 3,236.74 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 95% 4,245.16 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.7% 6,949.23 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.8% 7,658.17 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98.1% 17,311.69 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 5,851.45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 93% 30,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 81% 25,001.01 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 79% 2,236.79 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 81% 759.49 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 82% 1,503.68 shares