Yes position
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.17K
- Potential profit
- $30.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
Polymarket Trader
239048
0xdd7bca0be6ee3785078b2c6b7892327ed274eee7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.31K
- Realized PnL
- -$64.64
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $563.72
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $610.69
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $255.41
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $632.64
- Potential payout
- $718.91
- Potential profit
- $86.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $266.16
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $12.36
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $308.64
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$19.63
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $65.22
- Potential payout
- $221.08
- Potential profit
- $155.86
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $13.83
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.3%
- Current value
- $26.3
- Potential payout
- $60.8
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 2.31x
- User PnL
- $23.57
Yes position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $7.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $129.6
No position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $35.07
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$225
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 35% 49.51 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 23% 950.3 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 42% 5.55 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 35% 8.07 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 36% 29.55 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 20.1% 179.53 shares
- Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?Yes 13.5% 40 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 32% 20 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?Yes 32% 22 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 23% 13 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 24% 20 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes 26% 20 shares