Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $60.75
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Polymarket Trader
pollutionn
0xdd86413d3c559604ed748a833f97506b6bf20f8a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.07
- Realized PnL
- $166.6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $12.05
- Potential profit
- $10.73
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.52
Yes position
Will Napoli win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.11
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.76
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Man City qualify for the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Yes position
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will Red Bull have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Real Madrid beat Celta Vigo?
Ends May 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 7.5% 1.17 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 8.3% 12.05 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 85.4% 1.17 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 75% 1.33 shares
- Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No 82% 1.22 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No 30% 3.33 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 75% 1.33 shares
- North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes 22.1% 157.41 shares
- Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 30% 147.05 shares
- Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes 28.2% 157.14 shares