No position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $143
- Potential profit
- $141.93
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Polymarket Trader
shadow8996
0xdd89c6b0bdc84a7a49671818d5fd4abeb5bbd4b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.48
- Realized PnL
- $108.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $115.02
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $4.98
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104
- Potential profit
- $104
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Will Bernie say "Billionaire" 3+ times in Maine?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $46
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $33.61
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.48
No position
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
Yes position
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?No 8.2% 34 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 93.6% 4.77 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?No 1.2% 121 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 9?No 96.9% 33 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?No 3.1% 104 shares
- Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?Yes 6.6% 51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 21?Yes 2.1% 50 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.2% 25 shares
- Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?Yes 95.8% 29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 15?Yes 2.1% 49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?No 97.4% 43 shares
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes 3.7% 55 shares