Polymarket Trader

bisonhead

@100MBTC

0xdd9311d19221e811fda903a5a7e2475613b9a22b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $57.47
Realized PnL: $8.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $963.16
Potential profit: $963.16
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $710.95
Potential profit: $710.95
User PnL: -$14.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.88
Potential profit: $478.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.77
Potential profit: $147.77
User PnL: -$32.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.63
Potential profit: $86.63
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.78
Potential profit: $59.78
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $57.47
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.47

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.8
Potential profit: $45.8
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.64
Potential profit: $33.64
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.77
Potential profit: $31.77
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.81

No position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $372.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $354.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $333.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $305.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $270.91

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.54

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.55

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.44

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $165.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $157.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $153.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.82

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 51% 58.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 478.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 13.1% 283.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5.6% 179.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.6% 104.17 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 6% 2,545.17 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 12.4% 1,061.2 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 15% 667.33 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 26.8% 399.18 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 22.5% 399.19 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 1.2% 816.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 770.3 shares