0xdD97F81387d19187f2B2298f332ABD50EeaAFdD2-1771640021528

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $20.4
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.87
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $14.31
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.48
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$3.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $16.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $12.13
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.72
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.01
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.98
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 26.8%
Current value: $3.21
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $8.79
Multiplier: 3.74x
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.08
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.74
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $8.04
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $3.6
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $3.48
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11.5
Potential profit: $11.48
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.5
Potential profit: $11.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.31

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.26

Up position

Solana Up or Down - March 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?