Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $48.22K
- Potential payout
- $60.42K
- Potential profit
- $12.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $43.39K
Polymarket Trader
hippoka
0xdd9c961288a032098076267bd665d407dac231a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $83.18K
- Realized PnL
- $90.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.39K
- Potential payout
- $46.88K
- Potential profit
- $41.49K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$724.9
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $883.41
- Potential payout
- $33.34K
- Potential profit
- $32.45K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.44K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $18.33K
- Potential payout
- $23.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.1K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $286.98
- Potential payout
- $19.79K
- Potential profit
- $19.51K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$5.09K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $17.1K
- Potential profit
- $13.52K
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $34.38
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $208.77
- Potential payout
- $5.49K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $103.34
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $441
- Potential payout
- $4.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.76K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $359.66
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.2%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.55x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $174.49
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 12.20x
- User PnL
- -$94.71
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $42.71
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$414.16
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $974.08
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $67.72
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $776.14
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $995.44
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $46.36
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $328.69
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $25.52
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$299.4
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $986.06
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $55.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $621.43
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $864.69
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $177.11
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $788.9
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.8%
- Current value
- $107.25
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $192.75
- Multiplier
- 2.80x
- User PnL
- $101.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.31K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.32K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.75K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $837.59
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $657.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $615.95
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $598.43
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $558.49
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.68
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.7
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $419.66
No position
Fed rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $413.35
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.77
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.32
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $231.14
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.9% 8,334.4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.7% 1,800 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.5% 2,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 5.3% 803.39 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91.9% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 91.8% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 3,125.4 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 3,125.4 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes 3% 100 shares