Binotto

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.1M
Potential profit: $1.1M
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.84K

Yes position

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $866.55K
Potential profit: $865.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $481.8

Yes position

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $213.2
Potential payout: $142.13K
Potential profit: $141.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$490.79

Yes position

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $97.53
Potential payout: $65.02K
Potential profit: $64.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $44.6

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $657.98
Potential payout: $33.74K
Potential profit: $33.08K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $285.09

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $68.88
Potential payout: $15.31K
Potential profit: $15.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$21.14

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$324.99

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.61

No position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.37K
Potential profit: $3.37K
User PnL: -$366.14

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $325.56
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$31.07

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $2.74K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$11.77

Yes position

Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.07
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $73.95
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$143.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.67K

No position

Will PSG vs. Real Madrid end in a draw after regulation time?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.67K

No position

Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $844.67K

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $40.13K

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 25.3%
Multiplier: 3.95x
User PnL: $29.69K

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $12.94K

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 14.3%
Multiplier: 6.99x
User PnL: $10.89K

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $10.45K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.31K

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $6.06K

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $5.88K

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.22K

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 60.4%
Multiplier: 1.66x
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?