Mst-br

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $248.26
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$251.74

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $150
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $35

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $996.51
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $3.5
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $961.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $71.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $926.5
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $942
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $58
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $4.44

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $999.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $236.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $136.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $863.49
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $734.69
Potential profit: $734.69
User PnL: -$360

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $482.14
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $232.14
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$17.86

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $631.92
Potential payout: $714.04
Potential profit: $82.11
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $66.93

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $680
Potential profit: $680
User PnL: -$360.4

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$372

No position

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $592.38
Potential payout: $596.26
Potential profit: $3.88
User PnL: $1.81

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $402.51
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $82.5

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$250

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $496.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $3.75
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $495.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $236.16
Potential payout: $497.18
Potential profit: $261.02
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$114.84

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $482.76
Potential profit: $482.76
User PnL: -$280

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410
Potential profit: $410
User PnL: -$180.4

Under position

Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.88
Potential profit: $314.88
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $103.06
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $101.02
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.06

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $95.93
Potential payout: $166.83
Potential profit: $70.9
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$4.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $81.11

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.73

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $50.02

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $39.8

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $29.31

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.52

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0

No position

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Josh Hokit position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?