Polymarket Trader

Contraposition

0xddad23982b73819d341b3794b4d8d8c01ecbc3da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: -$795.35
Win rate: 35.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $47.02K
Potential profit: $46.01K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $62.49

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.92K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $220
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.78K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $52

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $434.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: $239.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.97K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$10.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13K

Yes position

Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $260.5

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$123.12

Yes position

JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$133.97

No position

USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$169.84

Penguins position

NHL: Penguins vs. Rangers

Ends Oct 9, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$546.42

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$823.98

No position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.05K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.52K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.6% 6,000 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 6,000 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 12.1% 2,000 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.4% 3,000 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 24,334.82 shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.1% 8,000 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.9% 639.76 shares
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.1% 10,000 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.8% 20,000 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 18.3% 2,000 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

No 95.3% 1,000 shares
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?

Yes 65% 800 shares