Polymarket Trader

M0912

0xddae94bb5f8fb37e62a1be6f1753655bb6dd3242

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $74.83
Realized PnL: -$46.08
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$140

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $59.56
Potential payout: $158.82
Potential profit: $99.26
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $15.27
Potential payout: $35.93
Potential profit: $20.66
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $4.33

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.18

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.76

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$51.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Yes 38% 23.68 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 17.97 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 54% 18.33 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 17.96 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 54% 17.59 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 35% 27.77 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 57% 35.93 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Chicago Cubs 43% 11.36 shares
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Chicago Cubs 44% 11.36 shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees 64% 15.38 shares
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees 65% 15.38 shares