Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- User PnL
- -$52.38
Polymarket Trader
xenobiology
0xddb2f3499158df3d74cf873f784e73a6d11d745a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.35
- Realized PnL
- $895.41
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$29.85
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.91
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $669.28
- Potential profit
- $669.28
- User PnL
- -$16.12
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $16.35
- Potential payout
- $617
- Potential profit
- $600.65
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $16.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.58
- Potential profit
- $68.58
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.55
- Potential profit
- $55.55
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.05
- Potential profit
- $55.05
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.87
- Potential profit
- $9.87
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.68
- Potential profit
- $5.68
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Morocco leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.1
- Potential profit
- $5.1
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $792.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.91
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6% 19.84 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6.1% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 2.97 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 8.9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.6% 37 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10.8% 29.99 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 11.6% 9 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 10% 234 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 21.6 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 23.4 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 14.4% 26 shares