Polymarket Trader

ctodaro

0xddbb622393c599bfed5be4357f1cb664cbc332af

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $506.94
Realized PnL: $13.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $5.89K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$188.36

No position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$534.21

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13K
Potential profit: $3.13K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $506.94
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.27K
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$940.75

Yes position

US x Russia military clash by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$335

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$430

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$125

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $1.07K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$62.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$510

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.09
Potential profit: $909.09
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Ecuador leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $775.82
Potential profit: $775.82
User PnL: -$144.85

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Norway leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$150

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.43

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718.98

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.5

Yes position

Senegal leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.3

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.27

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.67

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.46

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $523.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.32

Yes position

Belgium leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $492.31

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $460.91

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $422.37

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.03

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315

Egypt position

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.57

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.84

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.35

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.14

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

Yes position

Croatia leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
Belgium leading at halftime?

Yes 90% 769.23 shares
Belgium leading at halftime?

Yes 26% 769.23 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?

8% 1,216.53 shares
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

9.4% 1,035.64 shares
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?

Yes 28% 1,071.43 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

9.4% 1,294.57 shares
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half AND Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?

9.6% 2,028.23 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 32% 3,125 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?

Yes 16% 625 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 1,923.08 shares
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Norway?

Yes 4.4% 681.82 shares