Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.72
- Potential profit
- $399.72
- User PnL
- -$22.43
Polymarket Trader
youdianan
0xddc78950362414ba481bacd7d55010fedc830628
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $314.2
- Realized PnL
- $134.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $101.6
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $13.4
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $83.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $16.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $67.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $61.6
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.68
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 12?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 12 above $500?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 99.6% 67.5 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 90% 100 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 89.8% 15 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 96.3% 64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 318 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.8% 70.24 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 99.3% 98 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.7% 150 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No 99.9% 313.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown 5.6% 399.44 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on March 12?No 99.9% 322.49 shares