Yes position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.65K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Polymarket Trader
MOGUA
0xdde484fbd087a16eda45dfdb877057be8b2d672c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.89
- Realized PnL
- $37.08
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $96.02
- Potential payout
- $115
- Potential profit
- $18.98
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $12.02
Yes position
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
Ends Dec 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Southampton wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 0.8% 3,671 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 87% 115 shares
- Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.4% 6,010.95 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.5% 9,896 shares
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 9,896 shares
- Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 6,010.95 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 99.9% 60 shares
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 0.3% 6,000 shares
- Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 0.4% 6,063 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?Yes 97.4% 100 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No 96.4% 108 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes 81% 20 shares