Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $22.61
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- -$4.04
Polymarket Trader
Goblin74
0xddea8ec87aa5a877bfc70f298361e12b2407e971
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.96
- Realized PnL
- -$90.14
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $915
No position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $338.8
Yes position
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.27
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
$BTC dips below $65k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will London Breed win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?
Ends Nov 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.97
Yes position
Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$338.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$915
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.5% 1,894.4 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.6% 1,894.41 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 98.4% 700 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 35% 28.57 shares
- Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?Yes 93% 4.3 shares
- Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?Yes 50% 30 shares
- Will Eric Adams drop out?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes 3.4% 88.24 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 74% 20.27 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes 94% 31.91 shares
- Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes 0.4% 4,029.38 shares
- Will Sergei Syrankov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?Yes 0.2% 48,213.43 shares