Yes position
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.25
- Potential profit
- $171.25
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Polymarket Trader
FreshNewBeginning
0xddf6b8556091bd4299c4bffa32e59e31188d6b37
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.74
- Realized PnL
- $47.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.4
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $137
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Y
Yes position
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $136.25
- Potential profit
- $135.91
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.9
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $59.97
- Potential profit
- $57.42
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.89
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $52.11
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $49
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $47.95
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.34
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $37.25
- Potential profit
- $37.03
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
No position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.5
- Potential profit
- $35.5
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $32.34
- Potential profit
- $31.11
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.25
- Potential profit
- $32.25
- User PnL
- -$2.43
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.74
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.51
- Potential payout
- $27.5
- Potential profit
- $26.99
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $22.68
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Spain snap election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Jason Day finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 The Open Championship?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.02
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Y
Yes position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Y
Yes position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of July 13 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Y
Yes position
Will 4+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 10.99x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.50x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of July 13 2026?Yes 0.1% 20 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat?No 7.2% 15 shares
- Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes 1% 17 shares
- Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes 2.9% 5 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 1.2% 15 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 5% 17 shares
- Ukraine coup attempt by December 31?Yes 6% 16.5 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 6% 19.5 shares
- Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No 18% 6 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 5% 27 shares
- Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 3.4% 25 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?Yes 10% 18.8 shares