astronova

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.43K
Potential profit: $103.43K
User PnL: -$246.77

No position

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.93K
Potential profit: $68.93K
User PnL: -$173.78

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.67K
Potential profit: $13.67K
User PnL: -$41

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$215.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.25K
Potential profit: $4.25K
User PnL: -$53.41

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.42K
User PnL: -$36.78

Yes position

Will Israel Adesanya win by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$492.83

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$15.41

No position

Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.03
Potential profit: $700.03
User PnL: -$24.71

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.46
Potential profit: $695.46
User PnL: -$201.68

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $595.81
Potential profit: $595.81
User PnL: -$44.89

Yes position

Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.2%
Current value: $178.74
Potential payout: $414.23
Potential profit: $235.49
Multiplier: 2.32x
User PnL: $141.4

Yes position

Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$62.5

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.73
Potential profit: $272.73
User PnL: -$30

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.42
Potential profit: $260.42
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Reinier de Ridder win by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Renato Moicano win by KO or TKO?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.31
Potential profit: $146.31
User PnL: -$26.34

Rob Font position

UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.33
Potential profit: $117.33
User PnL: -$27.34

Yes position

Will Brandon Moreno win by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.18
Potential profit: $106.18
User PnL: -$24.17

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$37

Vera position

UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $958.83

Yes position

Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.71

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.02

Yes position

Will Joe Pyfer win by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259

Yes position

Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.28

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.33

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.29

Yes position

Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.32

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.45

Yes position

Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.19

Yes position

Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.27

Yes position

Will Tony Blair be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $41.62

Yes position

Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.64

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.22

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $19.17

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.77

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win by 125–149 seats?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win by 100–124 seats?