PDB111

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$27.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $127.88
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $622.13
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $68.63

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $737.33
Potential profit: $737.33
User PnL: -$195

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $40.96
Potential payout: $725
Potential profit: $684.04
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$35.89

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $680
Potential profit: $680
User PnL: -$66.42

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $43.44
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $581.56
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$17.19

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.1
Potential profit: $602.1
User PnL: -$126.44

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $562.5
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$11.1

Yes position

Will Ben Kohles win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$5.46

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20.16

Carano position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$89.99

Yes position

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$26.8

Lins position

MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$34.86

Yes position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$10.18

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 34.7%
Current value: $138.96
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $261.04
Multiplier: 2.88x
User PnL: $74.56

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.71
Potential profit: $387.71
User PnL: -$44.65

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $49.13
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $325.88
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$48.86

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $938.27

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.55

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $789.23

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.66

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $486.49

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.5

Charles Oliveira position

UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.7

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.5

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104

Ruffy position

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.7

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.65

Yes position

Big Game: Safety?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$29.23

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?