No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $8.52
- Potential payout
- $8.69
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Polymarket Trader
0xdE00342b5E1E216b0ecDB6912f0161606b50dF2a-1770754768853
0xde00342b5e1e216b0ecdb6912f0161606b50df2a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $38.32
- Realized PnL
- $142.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $7.66
- Potential payout
- $8.63
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $8.26
- Potential profit
- $3.76
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.3%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $7.96
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.2%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $7.53
- Potential profit
- $1.72
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $6.86
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
OpTic Texas position
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Toronto KOI (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 3 Playoffs
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Over position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
33 position
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Nigma Galaxy position
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Team Lynx position
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Chicago Wolves position
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Aurora position
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will the median home value in the US be between $425,000 and $427,500 on April 1?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
T1 position
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
G2 Minnesota position
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit 99.9% 7.93 shares
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPipsqueak+4 48% 9.59 shares
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BPipsqueak+4 45% 9.67 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)Guilherme Pat 20% 9.52 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)Alice Pereira 54% 8.67 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?No 89.1% 7.86 shares
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports 58% 7.87 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 14.5% 5.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?No 0.2% 0.05 shares
- Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?No 98.9% 0.1 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 15.2% 1.02 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 13?No 3% 0.5 shares