Polymarket Trader

mwenya

0xde0463ea7f611b065e8ab06bbfbddad75e6dfa37

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $154.85K
Realized PnL: $729.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $200.38
Potential payout: $25.05K
Potential profit: $24.85K
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$2.88K

No position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 60.9%
Current value: $15.22K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$3.42K

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $24.61K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $387.48
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.15K

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $14.87K
Potential payout: $24.99K
Potential profit: $10.12K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $598.46

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $12.49
Potential payout: $24.97K
Potential profit: $24.96K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$990.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $62.33
Potential payout: $24.93K
Potential profit: $24.87K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.34K

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $112.04
Potential payout: $24.9K
Potential profit: $24.78K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$438.43

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $12.4
Potential payout: $24.8K
Potential profit: $24.79K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5.82K

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $24.79K
Potential profit: $23.69K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $66.8

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $23.6K
Potential profit: $19.47K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.07K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $12.63K
Potential payout: $22.76K
Potential profit: $10.13K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$767.77

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 82.3%
Current value: $18.66K
Potential payout: $22.67K
Potential profit: $4.01K
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $13.52K

No position

Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.02K
Potential payout: $20.03K
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Ends Oct 21, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.34K
Potential payout: $19.33K
Potential profit: $17.99K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$30.28

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $7.01K
Potential payout: $18.69K
Potential profit: $11.68K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$1.62K

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $3.32K
Potential payout: $17.92K
Potential profit: $14.61K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$658.62

Yes position

Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $17.11K
Potential profit: $17.11K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.18K

Yes position

Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $15.86K
Potential profit: $15.86K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$71.85

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.84K
Potential payout: $15.82K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.93K

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $6.74K
Potential payout: $13.75K
Potential profit: $7.01K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $12.41K
Potential profit: $9.42K
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: $1.9K

Yes position

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $10.51K
Potential profit: $3.05K
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $492.74
Potential payout: $10.16K
Potential profit: $9.67K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$116.37

Yes position

Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $9.31K
Potential profit: $9.3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$223.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $71.88K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.77K

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.19K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42.24K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.53K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.68K

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $36.58K

Yes position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.85K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.09K

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.72K

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.1%
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $27.73K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.94K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.63K

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.49K

Connecticut Huskies position

Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.38K

Alabama position

Alabama vs. Oklahoma

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.31K

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.02K

Yes position

Will Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.34K

Yes position

Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.15K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.98K

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.89K

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.97K

No position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?

Ends Sep 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.82K

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.74K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 500 shares
Will Max Homa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

Yes 6.6% 500 shares
Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Yes 6.9% 58.53 shares
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 91.1% 100 shares
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 89.7% 100 shares
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 58.39 shares
Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

Yes 36% 14 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 5.7% 65.86 shares
Will "The Witness" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

No 3.3% 100 shares
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Yes 5.7% 18.8 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 44% 237 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 44% 100 shares