Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $411.76
- Potential profit
- $376.76
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$35
Polymarket Trader
Sborrius
0xde1089bf24cf84be7481d8a909b22831ba3d1139
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $618.49
- Realized PnL
- -$300.16
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $343.82
- Potential payout
- $411.76
- Potential profit
- $67.94
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.18
No position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $112.46
- Potential payout
- $130.01
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $102.75
- Potential payout
- $106.53
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $11.96
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $24.46
- Potential payout
- $63.54
- Potential profit
- $39.08
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.71
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.02
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Affordability" or "Affordable" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.64
No position
Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Travis Kelce rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.1
Yes position
Will Battlefield 6 be the #1 searched game on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.23
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.89
No position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$68.31
No position
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$118.75
Yes position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$157.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes 35% 63.54 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Yes 3% 686.25 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Yes 13% 222.31 shares
- Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?Yes 12.9% 463.95 shares
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No 87.2% 56.53 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 71% 279.21 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 85% 411.76 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 94% 357.14 shares
- Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes 85% 98.89 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No 29.3% 85.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 56% 357.14 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 411.76 shares