Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $36.33
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $630.34
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$19.67
Polymarket Trader
fpamplona
0xde1a0a11e4fe2546279e41118356aef4883277b3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $333.59
- Realized PnL
- $99.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $31.93
- Potential payout
- $34.9
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $29.56
- Potential payout
- $33.94
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $32.3
- Potential payout
- $33.47
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $31.81
- Potential payout
- $33.47
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $30.87
- Potential payout
- $32.77
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $30.62
- Potential payout
- $32.33
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $31.37
- Potential payout
- $31.98
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $30.24
- Potential payout
- $31.98
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $29.55
- Potential payout
- $30.48
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.9%
- Current value
- $10.43
- Potential payout
- $14.51
- Potential profit
- $4.08
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
N
No position
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $9.27
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.04
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Heat
Ends May 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.49
No position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.31
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will the next Pope be from Africa?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Warriors position
Rockets vs. Warriors
Ends May 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Trump say "America" 10+ times during his University of Alabama commencement speech?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Magic
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1800 and $1900 on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Celtics position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 82% 33.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 87.8% 30.48 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?No 84.8% 31.23 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 81.2% 36.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes 91.8% 31.98 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 90.5% 32.33 shares
- Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?Yes 84% 34.9 shares
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?Yes 95.8% 32.2 shares
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No 94.6% 33.75 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.3% 32.97 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 98.5% 14.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 78% 12.82 shares