Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.83
- Potential profit
- $70.83
- User PnL
- -$17
Polymarket Trader
MoonshadowPool
0xde1bad33a912f60efa01117b36d7e741d789f63e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $57.7
- Realized PnL
- $23.38
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $57.7
- Potential payout
- $60.42
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Navajo Stirling position
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 96% 60.42 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No 70% 70 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 95.2% 23.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?No 95.2% 23.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.6% 22.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 93% 22.58 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.4% 21.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.5% 21.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 86% 25 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 23.91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 92% 23.91 shares