Polymarket Trader

dudelim

0xde23f85760a33a29fc5c577eccab8a820a49f3fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $462.06
Realized PnL: $1.71K
Win rate: 45%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $55.22
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: $5.22

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $394.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $5.4
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $343.24
Potential profit: $341.01
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.33
Potential profit: $334.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.22
Potential payout: $306.91
Potential profit: $303.69
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.22
Potential profit: $260.22
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $82.19
Potential profit: $80.55
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$4.36

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.4
Potential profit: $39.4
User PnL: -$19.7

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $7.04
Potential profit: $1.9
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.3

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.31

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.96

No position

Will Meta announce Instagram sale in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.24

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.45

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$53.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Yes 71% 7.04 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Yes 7.3% 82.19 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 306.91 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 343.24 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 260.22 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 2, 2026?

Yes 3% 334.33 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 2,173.91 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Xtreme Gaming 50% 38.8 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Yes 6.5% 99.99 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 94% 400 shares
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?

Yes 16% 45 shares
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Yes 0.1% 500 shares