No position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $288.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$20.62
Polymarket Trader
VincentWright2057
@Breaker1626656
0xde2b15f2ae139dbfe6f6312f8f61edfa6d0173a0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79K
- Realized PnL
- $2.2K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $45.22
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$13.94
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.94
No position
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $505.69
Southern Illinois Salukis position
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204
Yes position
Will Trump say "Easter" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.6
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be between 2,300,000 and 2,400,000?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.8
Yes position
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.95
No position
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.2
No position
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.1
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 27%
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $100.08
Yes position
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.38
Yes position
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80.08
Yes position
Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.52
No position
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2025?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.4
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.91
Yes position
Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.94
Yes position
Will Zootopia 2 be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.4
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 30 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.94
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.49
Yes position
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $37.95
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $36.1
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.52
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.96
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.9
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 84% 6 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 86% 37 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 86% 30 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 86% 40 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 86% 20 shares
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 87% 2,195 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No 77.3% 717 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 610 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No 84.9% 194 shares
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No 84.9% 911 shares
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-11?No 63% 175 shares
- Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-04-11?No 63% 444 shares