Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $73.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $426.74
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $30.65
Polymarket Trader
misterfantastic
0xde393c9b6e7a2eb77b3660f395b7cbe1325ff3b5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.24
- Realized PnL
- $2.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.99
- Potential profit
- $244.99
- User PnL
- -$90.13
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $27.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $172.3
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $97.86
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.65
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$24.6
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 2?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.34
- Potential profit
- $54.34
- User PnL
- -$0.71
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $50.01
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 3?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.63
- Potential profit
- $44.63
- User PnL
- -$15.18
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Under position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.01
- Potential profit
- $33.01
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$3.05
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $4.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's video get between 62 and 64 million views on day 3?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 76 million or more views on day 6?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.99
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.49
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.7
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.64
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.89
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35.5 and 36.0 million views on day 4?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.85
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.47
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.74
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.34
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.31
Yes position
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.22
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.52
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.51
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.4
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.25
Yes position
Will Bernie Sanders say "Minneapolis" during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.14
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.72
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 97.7% 30 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 69% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 79% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 76% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 45% 29.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 54% 10 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 15% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 21% 50 shares
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 99.1% 61.9 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.8% 10 shares