Polymarket Trader

0xDe412bE7fCfb617F371408d90d7E783Da7f7115b-1775415345794

0xde412be7fcfb617f371408d90d7e783da7f7115b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.62
Realized PnL: $26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295.45
Potential profit: $295.45
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.52
Potential profit: $151.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $13.1
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $55.87
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.38
Potential profit: $64.38
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.61
Potential profit: $37.61
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.16
Potential profit: $34.16
User PnL: -$6.83

Yes position

Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.48
Potential profit: $32.48
User PnL: -$4.87

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $27.42
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.56

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $24.31
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $4.61
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.71
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $24.75
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $11.7
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 19% 26.32 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.9% 30.86 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 30.86 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 30.86 shares
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 9% 66.67 shares
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?

Yes 15% 31.63 shares
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 26% 36.75 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 7.81 shares
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?

Yes 63% 7.7 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 57% 12.19 shares
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Yes 14% 66.51 shares