Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $372.96
- Potential payout
- $504
- Potential profit
- $131.04
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $50.4
Polymarket Trader
CynthiaChapman6691
0xde4583a0a72dfcf9193d04f749fa71429dc58238
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $616.75
- Realized PnL
- $5.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $220.04
- Potential payout
- $325.98
- Potential profit
- $105.94
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $18.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $22.72
- Potential payout
- $24.97
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Racing Club win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $917.07
Yes position
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $550.85
Yes position
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $520.5
Yes position
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.31
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $330.01
No position
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.92
Yes position
Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-02-11?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $275.76
No position
Will "CITY THE ANIMATION" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221
Yes position
Will Trump say "Embargo" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.81
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.53
Olympiacos B.C. position
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.82
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.71
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.56
No position
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.33
Grand Canyon Antelopes position
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Border" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.1
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.52
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Yes position
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.48
No position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.98
Yes position
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.7
Under position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.52
No position
Another US bank failure by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 63% 565.02 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No 39% 494 shares
- Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 61.9% 891 shares
- Will "CITY THE ANIMATION" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No 87% 1,700 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 73% 908 shares
- Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?No 24.4% 922 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No 10% 542 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No 10% 542 shares
- Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes 31% 6 shares
- Will Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)No 43% 287 shares
- Will Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)No 43% 381.38 shares
- Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 85% 908 shares