No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
ellispalmer3159
0xde4de246a2b65471e59542f217108650b1780e3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.85
- Realized PnL
- $10.24
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 2.6% 225 shares
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 1.5% 30 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 88.4% 165 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95% 154 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.5% 163 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.6% 163 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 155 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.6% 12 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 11.5% 12 shares
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.6% 165 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.7% 151.6 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 96.5% 152 shares