Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- User PnL
- -$315.74
Polymarket Trader
0xde4F373EF28c14386A2Aa5496B68984632B7d013-1768147918295
0xde4f373ef28c14386a2aa5496b68984632b7d013
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.04
- Realized PnL
- $175.39
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $70.73
- Potential payout
- $764.7
- Potential profit
- $693.96
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.26
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $726.19
- Potential profit
- $726.19
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $132.77
- Potential payout
- $531.08
- Potential profit
- $398.31
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $30.06
- Potential payout
- $316.37
- Potential profit
- $286.32
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$99.94
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $127.78
- Potential profit
- $122.35
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$17.57
Yes position
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.71
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$41.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp 58% 5.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown 92% 2.17 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 33.9% 147.49 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 23% 217.39 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 4.1% 48.78 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 26.4% 75.72 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 48% 62.5 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 16.5% 181.75 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.6% 769.23 shares
- Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 12% 58.33 shares