Polymarket Trader

olegan

@Olegan62708757

0xde50884ab8fb10ef795a55261e2e62431154d25f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.27K
Realized PnL: $2.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $254
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.75K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $317.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$32.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 2.93x
User PnL: $277.51

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $122.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $877.5
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$43.5

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $923.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $76.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $22.5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $425
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $575
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $174.19
Potential payout: $209.87
Potential profit: $35.68
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $44.07

Yes position

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$54.2

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $24.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $25.75
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$6.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.37

Yes position

Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.07

Yes position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $110

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.09

Yes position

Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.91

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.23

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.02

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.44

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.17

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $30.69

Yes position

Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.21

No position

Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.98

No position

Will England win the 2024 Euros?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

No position

Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 3,106.65 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.1% 1,000 shares
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Yes 57.4% 425.58 shares
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 71% 2,973.64 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 55% 148.38 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

BetBoom Team 64% 146.76 shares
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Team Falcons 34% 98.86 shares
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?

Yes 87.9% 25 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 93% 14.58 shares
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

No 95.5% 75 shares
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

No 94.3% 290.65 shares
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Yes 93% 265.01 shares