No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $557.25
- Potential payout
- $671.38
- Potential profit
- $114.13
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $88.81
Polymarket Trader
luyis
0xde674a8d56cc5ce42493541c41fc82302227f2de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.22K
- Realized PnL
- -$196.74
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $280
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $220
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$13.4
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $379.81
- Potential payout
- $380
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $233.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $473.1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.5
Yes position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.65
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 70% 335 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 69% 180 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 69% 55 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No 70.7% 110 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 58.6% 310 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 58.7% 75 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 58.9% 115 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 38.4% 60 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 59.4% 80 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 69% 5,100 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No 68% 5,100 shares