Polymarket Trader

lil5atyr

0xde728552ba566352a3d6a96e63adc749afe2b5b1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $252.94
Realized PnL: $3.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $34
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$10.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$9.7

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $859.92
Potential profit: $859.92
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $756.46
Potential profit: $756.46
User PnL: -$138.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $598.2
Potential profit: $598.2
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $501.59
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $498.02
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $440
User PnL: -$6.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.58
Potential profit: $340.58
User PnL: -$60.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.33
Potential profit: $335.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $319.23
Potential profit: $319.23
User PnL: -$91.49

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $198.54
Potential payout: $300.82
Potential profit: $102.28
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $78.54

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$34.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$12.3

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.95
Potential profit: $286.95
User PnL: -$25.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.55
Potential profit: $271.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251.79
Potential profit: $251.79
User PnL: -$43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.08

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.35

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.25

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.99

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?

Yes 39.9% 300.82 shares
Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in June?

Yes 0.1% 52.39 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 16?

Yes 49.3% 10.14 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 15?

No 22% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 15?

Yes 0.1% 400 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?

Yes 85% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?

No 0.1% 100 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?

No 98.3% 65.77 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?

Yes 33.8% 289.92 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?

Yes 39% 6.9 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 29?

No 80% 18.5 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 29?

Yes 48.3% 20.71 shares