Polymarket Trader

ldlc38

0xde79c7e3299e98857c1f7d478915ca3fd35e06ab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $11.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $403.58
Potential payout: $1.98K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 4.90x
User PnL: $54.96

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $101.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$8.25

Yes position

Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$77.07

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$53

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.12K
User PnL: -$298.89

No position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $170.5
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $929.5
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$440.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $977.5
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.95
Potential profit: $862.95
User PnL: -$32.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $835.39
Potential profit: $835.39
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $752.77
Potential profit: $752.77
User PnL: -$135.5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $271.44
Potential payout: $609.97
Potential profit: $338.53
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $57.85

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$204

Yes position

Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.16
Potential profit: $557.16
User PnL: -$56.95

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $23.7
Potential payout: $526.65
Potential profit: $502.95
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$61.17

No position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404
Potential profit: $404
User PnL: -$32.32

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $394.2
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $343.28
Potential profit: $325.94
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $295.65
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $37.8
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $242.2
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $27.32
Potential payout: $133.27
Potential profit: $105.95
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$7.67

No position

Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $7.59
Potential payout: $133.2
Potential profit: $125.6
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$4.4

Yes position

Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $13.86
Potential payout: $120.53
Potential profit: $106.67
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $1.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $939.63

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $790.83

No position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $616.57

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $505.3

Yes position

Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.89

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $468.48

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.06

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $368.28

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.9

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $271.35

No position

Will WIF hit $5 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.78

No position

Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.71

No position

Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.99

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $246.87

No position

Will Trump nominate Mike Pompeo for Defense Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.8

Yes position

Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.64

No position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.14

No position

Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.52

Yes position

Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.19

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.04

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.19

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

No 8% 404 shares
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 21% 63.27 shares
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 11% 8.06 shares
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 10% 120.53 shares
Will June be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Yes 3.8% 862.95 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 73% 23.84 shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 43% 247 shares
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?

Yes 2% 111.52 shares
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 32% 247 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17?

Yes 0.8% 160 shares
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 25% 100.8 shares
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 7% 126.65 shares