Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.97K
- Potential profit
- $778.3
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $26.11
Polymarket Trader
MispricedPaladin
0xde88d50d54236eeecfbe6e3b40d7c32544a9144c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.64K
- Realized PnL
- $3.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $814.52
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$111.5
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $612.77
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $491.32
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $14.48
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $896.48
- Potential profit
- $896.48
- User PnL
- -$556.97
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $624.2
- Potential payout
- $682.18
- Potential profit
- $57.99
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $33.2
Y
Yes position
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $103.92
- Potential payout
- $472.36
- Potential profit
- $368.44
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $27.64
- Potential payout
- $368.57
- Potential profit
- $340.93
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $267.87
- Potential payout
- $330.7
- Potential profit
- $62.83
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$21.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $255.37
- Potential payout
- $305.84
- Potential profit
- $50.46
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.37
Y
Yes position
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $201
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $6
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Y
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $236.31
- Potential payout
- $270.07
- Potential profit
- $33.76
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $41.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $244.13
- Potential profit
- $243.76
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.03
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.04
- Potential profit
- $234.04
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.03
- Potential profit
- $224.03
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.08
- Potential profit
- $211.08
- User PnL
- -$164.64
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $202.34
- Potential profit
- $202.34
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $68.98
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $131.02
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $55.69
- Potential payout
- $166.99
- Potential profit
- $111.3
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $77.03
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $59.33
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.88
Yes position
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.27
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.03
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.85
Yes position
Will Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.47
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.43
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.05
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.12
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.98
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.33
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.11
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.91
No position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.53
Yes position
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.17
No position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.89
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Ends Nov 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.39
Yes position
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.05
Under position
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes 32.2% 62 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes 72% 270.07 shares
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes 41% 417.86 shares
- Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes 21% 472.36 shares
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes 31% 300 shares
- Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 91.6% 26.38 shares
- Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 91% 50 shares
- Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No 92% 80.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp 92% 5.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp 69% 7.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp 70% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETUp 70% 7.14 shares