0xdeb2...a2d3

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $140.54
Potential payout: $140.61
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $140.53
Potential payout: $140.6
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $135.78
Potential payout: $136.33
Potential profit: $0.55
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $135.12
Potential payout: $135.32
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $120.97
Potential payout: $121.03
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $107.37
Potential payout: $107.75
Potential profit: $0.38
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $78.05
Potential payout: $78.09
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $66.22
Potential payout: $66.29
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $55.6
Potential payout: $55.68
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $54.15
Potential payout: $54.18
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.06
Potential payout: $45.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $43.61
Potential payout: $43.63
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $42.21
Potential payout: $42.23
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $37.14
Potential payout: $37.16
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 83.7%
Current value: $30.52
Potential payout: $36.46
Potential profit: $5.94
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$5.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $36.06
Potential payout: $36.08
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $32.18
Potential payout: $32.21
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.14
Potential payout: $22.17
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $17.57
Potential payout: $17.61
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $17.26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $16.71
Potential payout: $16.77
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $16.1
Potential payout: $16.11
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.52
Potential payout: $15.53
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $14.96
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.72

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.98

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.91

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.86

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.8

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.07

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.56

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.84

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.36

No position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on June 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 13?