No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
housenival-02
0xdeb68bf04b82de95241c76d93efcb857cd7da1e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.02
- Realized PnL
- $72.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $261.12
- Potential profit
- $261.12
- User PnL
- -$31.18
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.8
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- User PnL
- -$4.84
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.97
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Melody Morris be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will Lyric Medeiros be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.9
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?No 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Lyric Medeiros be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?No 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?No 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Melody Morris be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?No 97% 5.15 shares
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 400 shares
- Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No 0.4% 1,250 shares
- Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June?No 37% 27.03 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing 99.9% 6.41 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?No 25% 40 shares
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes 99.9% 3.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 6.17 shares