Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $112.9
- Potential profit
- $112.11
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$69.21
Polymarket Trader
Mahes
0xdec61fa0249fea39d5e7f262784b5a6fc1e5ca9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $236.58
- Realized PnL
- $594.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.8%
- Current value
- $51.91
- Potential payout
- $62.7
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $31.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $59.55
- Potential payout
- $59.7
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $19.55
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $22.41
- Potential payout
- $25.32
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $21.6
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.6
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $19.56
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $18.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.7
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $18.09
- Potential payout
- $19.66
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $12.76
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $2.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.22
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.91
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.02
Yes position
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.03
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.03
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.01
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.35
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.19
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.75
No position
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
No position
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.72
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.96
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.07
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.93
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
Yes position
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.19
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?Yes 90% 22.22 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 62% 112.9 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 25.6% 21.05 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?Yes 95.5% 20.94 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?Yes 95% 21.05 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 47% 85.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?Yes 96.9% 15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No 70% 28.57 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?57% 175.44 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 46.2 shares