No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$95.48
Polymarket Trader
tracking
0xdecde8b1af0d8893c8c7f1c47249e1763422f575
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $2.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$11.12
No position
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $141.17
- Potential profit
- $141.17
- User PnL
- -$95.62
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $6.56
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $52.26
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will anyone say "Polymarket" during South Park's prediction market episode?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$35.56
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $46.2
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.01
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $84000 on Apr 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.5
No position
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.56
No position
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Arizona rally?
Ends Sep 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.57
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week?
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.14
No position
Will Trump say "Haitian" 5+ times during his Nevada rally?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.97
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.75
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.24
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.12
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.88
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $52.6
Yes position
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
Will RFK drop out before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Arizona rally?
Ends Sep 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.75
No position
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.08
No position
CrowdStrike outage fixed by Friday night?
Ends Jul 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $35.16
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his North Carolina rally?
Ends Sep 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.92
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No 61% 2,381.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?No 97.3% 682.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No 97.9% 444.44 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No 97.2% 150 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.8% 6,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 16% 1,925.7 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?Yes 8% 13 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 3?No 92% 52.4 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?Down 41.2% 50 shares